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2013 Full-year 2013 Full-year
Results Results Monday 17 February 2014 Monday 17 February 2014
2013 Half-year results
Today’s presentation
Section
1
Introduction and market overview
David Atkins, CEO
Financial results
Timon Drakesmith, CFO
Performance drivers
David Atkins, CEO
Conclusion
David Atkins, CEO
Section
2 Section
3 Section
4
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
2
Vision
Our vision is to be the best owner-manager and developer of retail property within Europe By capitalising on our strengths we aim to provide industry-leading shareholder returns
EPS +10.5%
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
Dividend +7.9%
LfL NRI +2.1%
NAV/share +5.7%
33
2013 highlights Best in class retail portfolio Occupancy 97.7% Leasing +2% vs ERV 7% tenant rotation rate
Active financial management WAIR reduced to 4.8% Reduction in cost ratio of 240bps Over £700m liquidity
2013 Full-year 2013 2013 half Half-year year results results results
Advancing developments Les Terrasses du Port 93% let Commenced on site at Leeds and Beauvais Planning consent at Croydon and Brent Cross
Capital recycling to enhance growth Queensgate disposal Leisure extensions on site Acquisition of Value Retail stakes, Bullring and Nancy
44
Securing retail demand in France despite cyclical weakness
Market indicators Structural attractiveness of indexation
Index 105 105
French business confidence (Source: INSEE, France)
100
100
95
95
Low personal debt levels
90
90
Business confidence steady throughout 2013
85 85
Household disposable income increased throughout 2013
Portfolio initiatives
80
80
Jul 12 €bn 34
Jan 13
Jul 13
Jan 14
Total disposable income (Source: INSEE, France)
340000
Leasing progress at Les Terrasses du Port, Marseille and Jeu de Paume, Beauvais
335000
Repositioning existing assets through extensions and refurbishments
325000
Selective acquisitions
315000
33
330000
32
320000
31
310000
Jan 08
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
Jan 10
Jan 14
Jan 12
5
Stronger Christmas trading in the UK Morrison Tesco Sainsbury M&S Food Waitrose
Foodstores
Dunelm Maplin Dixons Halfords Topps Tiles
OOT retailers
WH Smith Mothercare Superdrug Ryman Greggs Thorntons Argos Carphone Warehouse Robert Dyas Fragrance Shop The Works Lush
Non fashion retailers
New Look Blue Inc Bon Marche JD Sports White Stuff Ted Baker Next Karen Millen Jaeger Mountain Warehouse Moss MossBross Bros Boux BouxAvenue Avenue
Fashion retailers
Debenhams M&S Gen merch House of Fraser John Lewis Liberty Selfridges
Department stores -10
Source: PMA (from company statements)
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
% p.a. like-for-like sales change, Christmas trading period 2013 vs 2012
6
Positive outlook driven by improving fundamentals
Falling UK unemployment (Source: ONS)
UK GDP growth (Source: ONS) %
%
1.0
8.5
0.8
8
0.6
7.5 7
0.4
6.5
0.2
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
7
Oct-13
Jul-13
Apr-13
Jan-13
Oct-12
Jul-12
Apr-12
2013 - Q4
2013 - Q3
2013 - Q2
2013 - Q1
2012 - Q4
2012 - Q3
2012 - Q2
-0.2
2012 - Q1
0.0
Jan-12
6
Deep investor demand and firming yields
Shopping centre investment in Europe (Source: DTZ research) €bn
Volume LHS
20
Number of deals
Number of deals RHS
300 250
Net initial yield (Source: PMA) % 6.5
Prime shoppingcentres centres Prime Shopping
RetailWarehousing warehousing Retail
6.0
15 200 10
5.5
150 5.0 100
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
2014
2013
4.0 2012
2013
2011
2009
2007
2005
2003
2001
0 1999
0
4.5
2011
50
2010
5
8
Combined with limited supply
Retail completions expected to remain modest (Source: PMA) Mil ft2 p.a. net 25
Shopping Centre / Unit Shop Shopping centres
20
Retail RetailWarehouse warehouses
15
10
5
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
9
2018
2016
2014
2012
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
0
Increased space requirements in selected locations
International Fashion retailers multiples
Leisure and catering
Aspirational brands
Homeware and Discounters furnishings
London Regional shopping centres Out of town retail parks Prime towns Secondary towns Tertiary
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
10
Leading to market ERV growth
Forecast UK retail ERV growth per annum (Source: PMA) % 3.0
Prime shopping centres
Retail warehouses 2.9
2.5
2.5
2.0
2.0
1.9
1.5
1.8
1.6
1.3
1.0
1.1 0.8
0.5 0.0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.5
-0.2
-0.8
-0.9 -1.0
-0.1
-1.2
-1.5
2010
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
11
Hammerson positioned to support multichannel retail
Reported sales do not capture the whole picture Hammerson 2013 tenants’ sales
UK
France
-0.4%
-2.7%
Click and collect sales not recorded
Adjusted sales capture underlying picture Adjusted sales
Reported store sales
Retailer 1
+1.7%
-0.7%
Retailer 2
+5.7%
+4.7%
Online purchases returned to store reduce recorded sales
Overall estimated benefit to reported sales of 1-2% increase 2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
12
Leasing ahead of both ERV and previous rents
12 months to 31 December 2013
vs ERV
vs previous rents
UK retail
+4%
+1%
France
+0%
+6%
Group
+2%
+2%
UK shopping centres
Five Guys at The Oracle, Reading
2013 2013 2013 Full-year half Half-year year results results results
UK retail parks
Homebase at Battery Retail Park, Selly Oak
French retail
Eram at Place des Halles, Strasbourg
13
Summary
Improving economic fundamentals
Growing consumer confidence
Increasing tenant demand
Limited supply pipeline
Conditions for selected ERV growth
Hammerson positioned to outperform
2013 2013 half Full-year year results results
14
Section
2
Financial results Timon Drakesmith 2013 Half-year results
Finance agenda and progress Focus area Drive top line growth
Control operating costs
Manage interest expense
Optimise capital structure
Full-year results 2013 2013 half Half-year year results results
Progress in 2013 Growth in NRI of 2.1% Marseille opening May 2014 On track to meet our £320m NRI forecast for 2015
Cost income ratio declined by 240 bps to 24.6% Operating costs reduced by 1.5% in 2013 Further actions announced today to reduce cost income ratio
WAIR falls by 20bps to 4.8% Increased % of fixed debt for protection as rates rise
Over £500m of new debt financing LTV below 40% target Well funded to support development schemes
16 16
Headline results Income statement 2013
% change
2012
Net rental income(1) (£m)
290.2
282.9
+2.1%(2)
Adjusted profit before tax(3) (£m)
168.9
152.5
+10.8%
EPRA EPS (p)
23.1
20.9
+10.5%
Final dividend (p)
10.8
10.0
+8.0%
Balance sheet 31 Dec 2013 Portfolio value (£m) EPRA NAV (pence per share) LTV (%) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
5,931
% change
31 Dec 2012 5,653(4)
573
542
38
36
+2.0%(5) +5.7% -
Continuing and discontinued operations On a like-for-like basis for continuing operations Continuing and discontinued operations Includes £195m for discontinued operations Underlying capital growth for total portfolio excluding Value Retail
2013half Full-year results 2013 2013 Half-year year results results
17 17
YoY change (LfL)
Solid uplifts in like-for-like NRI
Key drivers
2013 total(2)
3.2% 2.6%
2.1%(1)
0.2% UK retail parks
France retail
£82.1m
£62.7m
Union Square
Cleveland
Cergy
Brent Cross
Thanet
O’Parinor
Silverburn
2012 administrations
Indexation
UK shopping centres
£124.7m
GRI up 2.2% LfL
Total
£282.8m(3)
In line with previous guidance
(1) Includes other interests LfL of £7.2m which declined YoY by 4.0% (2) Total NRI for continuing portfolio (not LfL) (3) Continuing operations, including other interests total of £13.3m
2013 2013 2013 Full-year Half-year Half-yearresults results results
18 18
EPRA EPS vs 2012 +10.5% Net investment
LfL NRI
Value Retail
Administration Net financing costs
Exchange and other
24.0 0.2 0.6
22.5
(0.5)
0.2 23.1
0.7 1.0
21.0 20.9
2013
2012
19.5
18.0
EPRA EPS (pence)
Earnings +20% since 2011 2013 2013 2013 Full-year half Half-year year results results results
19
Cost management delivering results EPRA Cost/income ratio(1)(2) %
Operating costs(1) £m 88
29
28.3%
28
86
86.1
27.0% 27
84 26 82
80
24.6%
25
EPRA cost/income target for 2016 21-22%
24
79.8
79.8 78
23
78.6
76
22 21
74
20
2011
2012
Year2013 2013
(1) Continuing operations (2) Cost ratio is defined as: (net service charge expense + property outgoings + administration expenses – management fees receivable)/Gross rental income
2013 Full-year 2013 half year results results
20
New resource management measures
Additional investments to grow business
Efficiency improvements
Expected incremental costs - £5m p.a. from 2015
Target savings - £6m p.a. from 2016
Expanded development programme
Senior management reorganisation
-
Headcount increases
London office relocation in 2015
-
Mobilisation of project teams Share incentive plans and pension benefits
Digital marketing and multichannel
London/Paris integration Implementation costs of £5m in 2014
Resources redeployed to growth areas Expense reductions push cost income ratio down to 21-22%
2013 Full-year 2013 half year results results
21
Portfolio valuation change
FY 2013 %
H2 2013 %
H1 2013 %
Value at 31 Dec 2013 (£m)
UK shopping centres
+2.4
+1.7
+0.7
2,524
UK retail parks
+1.7
+3.2
-1.5
1,471
France retail
-0.3
+0.8
-1.1
1,240
+10.4
+6.8
+3.4
497
Other UK interests(1)
-6.5
-1.6
-5.0
199
Discontinued operations
+3.7
-1.2
+5.0
-
Total
+2.0
+2.2
-0.2
5,931
Value Retail(2)
+12.6
+6.8
+5.4
788(3)
Current developments
(1) Principally assets held for redevelopment (2) Underlying overall portfolio valuation change for Hammerson interests (3) Hammerson’s share of portfolio valuation at 31 Dec 2013
2013 Full-year Full-year results 2013 2013 half Half-year year results results results
22
EPRA NAV per share vs 2012 +5.7% Investment portfolio revaluation
590
Developments revaluation
Value Retail revaluation
Profit on disposals
Adjusted profit
Dividends
23
(18)
580 570
573 573
2 11
560
4
550
2013
530
542
2012
540
9
520
EPRA NAV per share (pence)
2013 Full-year 2013 2013 half Half-year year results results results
23
Healthy financing ratios
Financing policies
31 Dec 2013
31 Dec 2012
-
£2,252m
£2,036m
Gearing
<85%
56%
53%
Loan to value
<40%
38%
36%
Cash/undrawn facilities
-
£716m
£696m
Weighted average cost of finance
-
4.8%
5.0%
>2.0x
2.8x
2.8x
Net debt/EBITDA
<10x
8.2x
7.9x
Fixed rate debt
>50%
82%(1)
80%
Net debt
Interest cover
(1) Fixed rate debt percentage at 31 December 2013 was 70% but is shown on a pro forma basis for £275m US private placement issue arranged in November 2013
2013 2013 2013 Full-year half Half-year year results results results
24 24
Maturity profile of debt
Bank drawn debt
£m
Secured debt
Euro bonds
500
Sterling bonds
USPP(1)
Credit markets attractive
450
Weighted average coupon of 2015/2016 bonds 5.0%
400
USPP will refinance 2014 bank debt
350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
(1) Undrawn committed US private placement due to fund February and June 14
2013 2013 2013 Full-year half Half-year year results results results
25 25
2028
Forecast development expenditure £m On site developments
300
Les Terrasses du Port, Marseille 250
Victoria Gate, Leeds Jeu de Paume, Beauvais
200 Other on site developments 150
Future developments
New extensions/redevelopments 100 Whitgift, Croydon Brent Cross extension
50
0 2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Note: Croydon expenditure in 2013 and 2014 reflects property acquisitions Other on site developments: Abbotsinch Retail Park, Paisley; Cyfarthfa Retail Park, Merthyr Tydfil; Silverburn, Glasgow; O’Parinor, Paris New extensions/redevelopments: Elliott’s Field Retail Park, Rugby; Watermark WestQuay, Southampton; Brent Cross leisure extension
2013 Full-year 2013 half year results results
26
Focus on Value Retail Value Retail Villages
Future growth drivers
2013
YoY change
Brand sales
€1.9bn
+13%
Forecast 72% growth in Chinese visits to Europe by 2018(2)
EBITDA
€111m
+12%
Village remerchandising with more premium brand stores
Total portfolio value
€3.1bn
+12%
More flagship stores Extensions at Barcelona and Dublin
Hammerson share of(1) EPRA net income
£19m
+51%
EPRA net assets
£634m
+29%
Hammerson investment plans
(1) Including benefit of new investments, interest receivable and loans (2) Source: European Travel Commission
2013 Full-year 2013 half year results results
27
Section
3
Performance drivers David Atkins 2013 Half-year results
Performance drivers
Value Retail
Growth from existing portfolio
Major developments
Contribution from extensions and refurbishments
Selected examples
2013 2013 2013 Full-year half Half-year year results results results
29
Capital deployment Prime Shopping Centres
Extension and refurbishment
Premium Designer Outlets
Convenient Retail Parks
Silverburn Silverburn
Abbotsinch Retail Park
La Roca Village
Kildare Village
Development Les Terrasses du Port
Cyfarthfa Retail Park
Kildare Village
Bullring
Junction Fund
La Vallée Village
Acquisition
2013 Full-year 2013 Half-yearresults results
30
Acquisition of a further stake in Bullring
Acquired additional 33% stake in 2013 in 50/50 JV with CPPIB, taking ownership to 50% 9% total property return Recent lease renewals +10% above previous rent Continues to attract new brands
2003
2011
2013
2014
2015
Bullring opens, with 1.5 million visitors in first week
Spiceal Street opens, a 1,900m2 leisure and catering development
Bullring celebrates 10 years of trading
Explore opportunity to increase leisure offering and add a cinema
New £100 million John Lewis store opens for trade in city
2013 Full-year 2013 Half-yearresults results
31
Saint Sébastien, Nancy
% 105
£7m
99%
24,000m2
6%
shops and restaurants
annual rents
let
centre
initial yield
2013 Full-year 2013 Half-yearresults results
Development potential
32
Nearing completion at Les Terrasses du Port
Countdown to launch Opening 3 May 2014 93% pre-let and 95% construction complete £28 million annual rents £460 million total development cost 7.3% yield on cost Anchor store Printemps and MSUs have commenced fitting out of units
2013 Full-year 2013 Half-yearresults results
33
Transforming Marseille’s retail offer
190 units
1
81
22
53
43
22
30
brands new to the portfolio
catering units
fashion brands
international brands
brands taking 1st store in a French shopping centre
brands new to Marseille
Brands recently signed include
2013 Full-year 2013 Half-yearresults results
34
Construction commenced at Leeds and Beauvais Victoria Gate, Leeds
34,300m2 luxury retail venue John Lewis anchor store
23,800m2 retail and leisure venue
Out-turn financials Total development cost Annual income
28% pre-let
Jeu de Paume, Beauvais
Yield on cost
£150m £10m 6.7%
80km north west of Paris Large catchment and poor retail provision
Out-turn financials Total development cost Annual income
£5m
Yield on cost
7.1%
Completion Q3 2016 42% pre-let Completion Q3 2015
2013 2013 Half-year Full-year results results
£70m
35
Advancing the development pipeline
Silverburn, Glasgow
O’Parinor, Paris
Cyfarthfa Retail Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Abbotsinch Retail Park, Paisley
10,900m2 extension
7,200m2 extension
14,500m2 extension
5,000m2 extension
14 screen cinema
14 screen cinema
4,300m2 Marks and Spencer anchor store
5 retail units in adjacent existing retail park
84% pre-let
100% pre-let 46% pre-let
87% pre-let
Total development cost £13m
Total development cost £4m Total development cost £23m
Total development cost £9m
Completion Q1 2015
Completion Q2 2014
Yield on cost 10%
Yield on cost 13%
Completion Q1 2015
Completion Q4 2014
Yield on cost 7%
Yield on cost 5%
2013 2013 Half-year Full-year results results
36
Key milestones at Brent Cross and Croydon Brent Cross
Whitgift, Croydon
2013 Agree masterplan
2013 Brent Cross/Cricklewood phasing
Submit planning
2014 S73 approval
Establish JV
Acquire RLAM stake
Secure planning resolution
2014 Complete S106
2013 2013 2013 Full-year Half-year Half-yearresults results results
Submit leisure planning application
Secure CPO resolution
Complete S106
Conclude land assembly
Conclude anchor negotiations
Complete design
37 37
Attractive future pipeline: The Goodsyard Total development area 260,000m2
50/50
10 acre
joint venture with site in heart of Shoreditch Ballymore Properties
2013 2013 Half-year Full-year results results
£6m per acre valuation
Spring 2014 19,000m2 Planning submission
Retail space (90 shops)
60,000m2
1,400
office space
residential units
38
Additional income from developments
£56m
£63m
£m annual rents
120
90 £15m 60
£11m £30m
30
2014 2014
2015 2015
2016 2016
2017-2019 2017-2019
Notes: Annualised passing rents assuming 100% occupancy in year of project completion, post any rent free periods Assumes completion of all medium-term developments and extensions 2014 Les Terrasses du Port, O’Parinor, Abbotsinch Retail Park; 2015 Silverburn, Jeu de Paume Beauvais, Elliott’s Field Rugby, Cyfarthfa Retail Park Merthyr Tydfil 2016 Watermark WestQuay, Victoria Gate 2017-2019 Croydon, Brent Cross Leisure, Brent Cross extension
2013 2013 Full-year half Half-year year results results results 2013
39
Conclusion
2013 Half-year results
Key messages
ERV growth returning to our markets
2013 half year results
Major development activity amplifies returns
On track with previous income growth guidance
41
Conclusion
ERV growth from existing portfolio
Contribution from extensions and refurbishments
Overhead cost control Strong returns Confident outlook
Major developments
Liability management
Value Retail
2013 2013 2013 Full-year half Half-year year results results results
42 42
Questions
2013 Half-year results
Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain statements that are neither financial results nor other historical information. These statements are forward-looking in nature and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual future results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements. Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond Hammerson’s ability to control or estimate precisely, such as future market conditions, currency fluctuations, the behaviour of other market participants, the actions of governmental regulators and other risk factors such as the Company’s ability to continue to obtain financing to meet its liquidity needs, changes in the political, social and regulatory framework in which the Company operates or in economic or technological trends or conditions, including inflation and consumer confidence, on a global, regional or national basis. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document. Hammerson does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revision to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials. Information contained in this presentation relating to the company or its share price, or the yield on its shares, should not be relied upon as a guide to future performance.
2013 2013 half Half-year year results results
44